A fascinating opinion poll has just been released showing Scottish voting for the main Westminster parliament. ('Westminster' means the main British Parliament, not the devolved, junior Scottish parliament.) The results are - Scottish Nationalist Party 54%; Labour 23%; Conservative party 10%; LIberal Party 6% and Greens 6%. This would mean the SNP would win 54 seats, up nine times from the current amount and would decimate the Labour Party in Scotland as seats in Westminster are decided by the first past the post system. The SNP may have lost the referendum battle but may well win in the longer term.
Okay, only one poll so it needs to be confirmed by other polls...
YOUGOV poll 30 October -
Meanwhile the Scottish poll in the time has topline Westminster voting intentions of CON 15%, LAB 27%, LDEM 4%, SNP 43%. It isn’t as extreme as the Ipsos MORI poll we saw earlier today, but it’s still a very solid lead for the SNP in Scotland, and one that on a uniform swing would translate into the SNP getting a hefty majority of Scottish seats.
And for a detailed discussion of these polls see http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/10/31/labours-scottish-nightmare/
and for Professor John Curtice's view see http://blog.whatscotlandthinks.org/2014/10/yougov-confirm-snp-well-ahead/
The SNP has seen its membership triple to more than 83,000 since last month's referendum